Real Estate Pros Pick 2021's 7 Biggest Housing Issues
2/4/2021
1- Inventory Shortage Eighty-four percent of the real estate professionals surveyed said that inventory was lower than they expected at the end of 2020. The National Association of REALTORS® reports that inventory levels in November were down 22% compared to a year ago. Real estate pros in the South Atlantic surveyed by Home Light were most likely to cite a lack of inventory as the top factor affecting their housing markets in 2021. Midwestern agents were the least likely to cite inventory woes.
2- Widely distributed vaccines to boost consumer confident Fifty percent of agents said that a widely distributed
vaccine could encourage more sellers to list their homes and help offset
inventory challenges. “This indicates that buyers could have more housing
options later in the year, though with inventory starting from such a low
place, the market could remain highly competitive for a while,” the HomeLight
report says. The vaccine also could help businesses reopen fully and give more
Americans added job security and the confidence to enter the housing market.
3- Some homes will be lost to foreclosure Forty percent of real estate agents believe that the end of
forbearance and stimulus plans this year could cause an increase in foreclosures
in their markets. However, growing home equity may help homeowners sell in a
strong market if they are facing foreclosure.
4- Low mortgage rate will continue to drive demand Ninety-seven percent of agents said that low mortgage
interest rates increasing buyer demand in their markets, the HomeLight report
notes. Sixty-eight percent of agents reported that their renter clients decided
to speed up their plans to purchase a home, 66% said current homeowners opted
to trade up faster, and 46% said older adults decided to downsize sooner due to
the low rates. There are some concerns, however, that mortgage rates could
increase from record lows over this year. Thirty-four percent of agents say
they expect mortgage rates to rise as more people receive the vaccine and the
economy improves.
5- A permanent shift to remote work could encourage more moves Nearly 15% of agents said the shift to working from home
could have the biggest impact on the real estate market in 2021. “Many
employers will likely give the final word on which jobs are to become permanently
remote in the coming months, which could trigger another round of relocations,”
the HomeLight report notes. “With California frequently topping lists of states
with the most remote jobs, agents in the Pacific Coast were most likely to cite
this trend (19.8%), followed by agents in the Northeast (16.2%).” The impact of
remote work on real estate likely will be the least prominent in the South
Central region. Only 8.3% of agents in the South Central region of the U.S.
cited remote work as an influential real estate trend for 2021.
6- Virus surges won't lead to further market panic “The U.S. may not yet have a handle on COVID-19, but the
surprise element has passed,” the report says. Real estate professionals are
more prepared to take their businesses virtual and to still transact while
socially distanced. Virtual tours, digital closing technology, and remote
showings are all methods that real estate pros have increasingly turned to in
the pandemic. “Compared to 2020 when buyer activity abruptly halted due to the
virus and then surged once lockdowns eased up, this year is likely to be one of
relative normalcy for housing trends,” the report says.
7- Affordability challenges persist and tax credits may help As affordable housing issues mount, lawmakers are racing to
try to come up with solutions. Thirty-seven percent of non-homeowners cite down
payment as one of the biggest obstacles to homeownership. Eleven percent of
agents surveyed believe that finding an affordable home will be a major
challenge facing buyers in 2021. But some are optimistic that tax credits
expected from the new administration may help. Fifty-five percent of the real
estate professionals surveyed by HomeLight said they were in support of
President Biden’s proposed $15,000 down payment tax credit for first-time
buyers. The tax credit—which, as proposed, will be able to be used at the time
of purchase—has been proposed as an extension of the Recovery Act’s temporary
tax credit.

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